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What happens next?
WeatherWill the high temperature in Seattle be 72-73° on Oct 2, 2026?
26%▼ −32 pp / 1h
Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 7:52 PM ET

Why: The market has moved 32 points lower over the past hour, reflecting a notable shift in trader sentiment during the observation window. No net movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour period.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the official daily high temperature confirmation from NOAA or Sea-Tac Airport weather records, expected to finalize before market close tomorrow morning.

Open the market →View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 7h 51m · $7K traded
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Every story starts with a real question about what happens next — a vote, a launch, a game, a forecast.

↗Movement

Prediction markets put a price on it. We show the market-implied chance and how many points it moved, and over what period.

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Then we explain what moved it, from dated reporting — and say plainly when nothing obvious did.

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And what to watch next: the moment that settles it. A price is a crowd’s view, not a promise.

Numbers from Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig · board updated 8:08 PM ET

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What happens next? · 26% yesWill the high temperature in Seattle be 72-73° on Oct 2, 2026?Kalshi ↗