Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2?

Movement

Last hour

▼ −16 pp / 1h

Last day

No reading for this period yet

Why: The YES probability has dropped sharply — 16 points lower over the past hour — suggesting traders appear to be moving away from the downside scenario as today's session progresses without significant movement toward that level.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be any sudden macro news, large liquidation events, or unusual volume on Binance BTC/USDT in the remaining hours of today's ET session that could compress price toward that threshold.

How it settles

Outcome

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Settles

Oct 3, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution

Per the platform’s rules

Source

Polymarket ↗

Volume

$59K traded

Updated

Oct 2, 7:59 PM ET