Will the high temperature in Chicago be 68-69° on Oct 3, 2026?

Chicago High Temp: Will Saturday Hit 68–69°?

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

59%▲ +2 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 12:52 AM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 1d 1h · $2K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▲ +2 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Over the past hour, the YES probability has moved 8 points higher. The 24-hour reading shows no net change, suggesting today's shift is a recent development rather than a sustained multi-day trend.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the evening forecast update from the National Weather Service Chicago office, or the next major model run, which could either reinforce or challenge the current market-implied probability.

How it settles

Outcome: Chicago · 68° to 69°
Settles: Oct 4, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $2K traded
Updated: Oct 3, 12:52 AM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.