Will it rain in San Antonio on Oct 3, 2026?

Rain Chances in San Antonio: Market at 60% Ahead of Saturday

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

75%▲ +8 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 12:52 AM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 1d 1h · $4K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▲ +8 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Over the past hour, the YES probability has moved 13 points lower, reflecting a notable shift in sentiment. No directional change was recorded over the prior 24-hour window.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the National Weather Service's Friday afternoon forecast discussion for San Antonio, along with evening model updates that could further clarify Saturday's precipitation timing and coverage.

How it settles

Outcome: San Antonio
Settles: Oct 4, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $4K traded
Updated: Oct 3, 12:52 AM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.