Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 3, 2026?

Minneapolis Rain Odds Dip to 64% for Saturday

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

70%▲ +1 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 12:58 AM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 1d 1h · $5K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▲ +1 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Over the past hour, the YES probability has moved 8 points lower, reflecting a modest shift toward drier expectations. No meaningful movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour window.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the Friday evening National Weather Service forecast discussion for the Minneapolis metro area, along with overnight model updates from the GFS and European ensemble runs.

How it settles

Outcome: Minneapolis
Settles: Oct 4, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $5K traded
Updated: Oct 3, 12:58 AM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.