Weather● On air today

Will the high temperature in San Antonio be <79° on Oct 2, 2026?

San Antonio High Temperature Watch: Will Today Stay Below 79°?

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

27%▼ −34 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 4:52 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 5h 50m · $5K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▼ −34 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Over the past hour, the YES probability has moved 11 points lower, shifting the market slightly toward a warmer outcome. No significant movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour window.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the official afternoon high temperature reading from San Antonio. Any NWS updates or station reports confirming temperatures at or above 79° could further pressure the YES side.

How it settles

Outcome: San Antonio · 78° or below
Settles: Oct 3, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $5K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 4:52 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.