Will it rain in Miami on Oct 3, 2026?

Miami Rain on Saturday: Market at 64% YES

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

66%▲ +1 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 12:52 AM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 1d 0h · $7K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▲ +1 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Probability has moved 7 points lower over the past hour. No net change has been recorded over the past 24 hours, suggesting the recent hourly dip is a newer development.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the Friday evening National Weather Service forecast update for the Miami area, along with any changes in short-range radar and ensemble model agreement.

How it settles

Outcome: Miami
Settles: Oct 4, 1:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $7K traded
Updated: Oct 3, 12:52 AM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.