Weather● On air today

Will the high temperature in Oklahoma City be 68-69° on Oct 2, 2026?

OKC High Temp Market Shifts Sharply — 68–69°F Window Now at 22%

Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours

22%▼ −49 pp / 1h

Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 5:53 PM ET

View on Kalshi ↗Closes in 5h 50m · $18K traded

Movement

Last hour: ▼ −49 pp / 1h
Last day: No reading for this period yet

Why: Over the past hour, the YES probability dropped 49 points — a significant move suggesting new weather data or forecast updates have shifted trader expectations away from that temperature band.

What to watch: The next catalyst may be the afternoon high temperature report from Oklahoma City. Traders appear to be watching real-time NWS observations as the day's peak approaches.

How it settles

Outcome: Oklahoma City · 68° to 69°
Settles: Oct 3, 2:00 AM ET
Resolution: Per the platform’s rules
Source: Kalshi ↗
Volume: $18K traded
Updated: Oct 2, 5:53 PM ET

Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.