WeatherWill it rain in Boston on Oct 2, 2026?
Boston Rain Odds Collapse to 9% on Market Closing Day
Market-implied chance of yes · last 48 hours
4%▼ −4 pp / 1h
Market-implied chance of yes · Kalshi · updated 12:58 AM ETMovement
- Last hour
- ▼ −4 pp / 1h
- Last day
- ▼ −61 pp / 24h
Why: Probability has moved 25 points lower over the past hour and 47 points lower over the past 24 hours, reflecting a notable shift toward the NO outcome as the day has progressed.
What to watch: The next catalyst may be any late-day weather model updates or evening radar data for the Boston metro area as this contract heads toward its overnight close.
How it settles
- Outcome
- Boston
- Settles
- Oct 3, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution
- Per the platform’s rules
- Source
- Kalshi ↗
- Volume
- $144K traded
- Updated
- Oct 3, 12:58 AM ET
Weather · prices are market-implied probabilities, not predictions or advice.